By Danny Jasper, Senior Vice President, Capital Markets, Castle & Cooke Mortgage, LLC

Last week was quite the roller coaster ride. Volatility was unprecedented as investors digested data spanning from the May non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, Greek debt talks and European inflation reports. The 10-year yield fluctuated greatly, and by close of business Friday, it increased 29 basis points to 2.4%.

As is common the week after the NFP report, this week is relatively light on data, as the highlight is Thursday’s Retail Sales report for May. With U.S. consumers showing a focus on saving versus spending over the last few reports (the April Retail Sales report came in very disappointing at 0.0% increase to the headline number), economists are speculating that we started to see families spend more in May. Surveys are calling for a +1.2% increase on the headline number and a +0.5% gain, excluding cars and gas.

Other data reports to look out for this week include wholesale inventories and trade sales for April tomorrow, import prices Thursday and PPI and consumer confidence reports on Friday.

On Monday, the DJIA is down 18 to 17,831, and the S&P is down 3 to 2,089. The 10-year yield has rallied back a bit this morning after closing at the highest level since October of last year and currently sits at 2.379%. Rates are better by approximately 0.25 in price versus Friday morning depending on rate and product.

This week’s economic calendar is as follows (courtesy of the FNMA trading desk):

Date Time Event Period Surv(M) Actual Prior
06/09/15 09:00 NFIB Small Business Optimism May 97.2 — 96.9
06/09/15 10:00 Wholesale Inventories MoM Apr 0.20% — 0.10%
06/09/15 10:00 Wholesale Trade Sales MoM Apr 0.60% — -0.20%
06/09/15 10:00 JOLTS Job Openings Apr — — 4994
06/10/15 07:00 MBA Mortgage Applications 5-Jun — — -7.60%
06/10/15 14:00 Monthly Budget Statement May -$97.5B — —
06/11/15 08:30 Retail Sales Advance MoM May 1.20% — 0.00%
06/11/15 08:30 Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM May 0.80% — 0.10%
06/11/15 08:30 Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas May 0.50% — 0.20%
06/11/15 08:30 Retail Sales Control Group May 0.50% — 0.00%
06/11/15 08:30 Import Price Index MoM May 0.90% — -0.30%
06/11/15 08:30 Initial Jobless Claims 6-Jun 277K — 276K
06/11/15 08:30 Import Price Index YoY May -10.00% — -10.70%
06/11/15 08:30 Continuing Claims 30-May 2180K — 2196K
06/11/15 08:45 Bloomberg June United States Economic Survey
06/11/15 09:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 7-Jun — — 40.5
06/11/15 10:00 Business Inventories Apr 0.20% — 0.10%
06/11/15 12:00 Household Change in Net Worth 1Q — — $1517B
06/12/15 08:30 PPI Final Demand MoM May 0.40% — -0.40%
06/12/15 08:30 PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM May 0.10% — -0.20%
06/12/15 08:30 PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM May 0.10% — 0.10%
06/12/15 08:30 PPI Final Demand YoY May -1.10% — -1.30%
06/12/15 08:30 PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY May 0.70% — 0.80%